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ITAÚ UNIBANCO - MATERIAL FACT - Projections 2025

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Itaú Unibanco (NYSE:ITUB) has released revised financial projections for 2025, updating key performance metrics. The bank has notably increased its guidance for financial margin with clients to 11.0%-14.0% from the previous 7.5%-11.5% range.

The bank maintained several projections, including total credit portfolio growth of 4.5%-8.5%, financial margin with the market between R$1.0-3.0 billion, and cost of credit between R$34.5-38.5 billion. The effective tax rate forecast was adjusted upward to 28.5%-30.5% from 27.0%-29.0%.

Itaú disclosed a cost of capital of approximately 15.0% per year for business management purposes as of February 2025.

Itaú Unibanco (NYSE:ITUB) ha pubblicato le previsioni finanziarie aggiornate per il 2025, rivedendo i principali indicatori di performance. La banca ha aumentato significativamente la stima del margine finanziario con i clienti al 11,0%-14,0%, rispetto alla precedente fascia del 7,5%-11,5%.

Rimangono invece confermate diverse proiezioni, tra cui la crescita del portafoglio crediti totale tra il 4,5% e l'8,5%, il margine finanziario con il mercato compreso tra 1,0 e 3,0 miliardi di R$, e il costo del credito tra 34,5 e 38,5 miliardi di R$. La previsione dell'aliquota fiscale effettiva è stata rivista al rialzo, portandola al 28,5%-30,5% rispetto al precedente 27,0%-29,0%.

Itaú ha inoltre comunicato un costo del capitale di circa 15,0% annuo da utilizzare per la gestione aziendale a partire da febbraio 2025.

Itaú Unibanco (NYSE:ITUB) ha publicado proyecciones financieras revisadas para 2025, actualizando los principales indicadores de desempeño. El banco ha incrementado notablemente su guía para el margen financiero con clientes al 11,0%-14,0%, desde el rango previo de 7,5%-11,5%.

Se mantienen varias proyecciones, incluyendo un crecimiento de la cartera total de créditos entre 4,5% y 8,5%, un margen financiero con el mercado entre 1,0 y 3,0 mil millones de R$, y un costo de crédito entre 34,5 y 38,5 mil millones de R$. La tasa efectiva de impuestos fue ajustada al alza a 28,5%-30,5% desde el 27,0%-29,0% anterior.

Itaú reveló un costo de capital aproximado del 15,0% anual para fines de gestión empresarial a partir de febrero de 2025.

Itaú Unibanco (NYSE:ITUB)� 2025년을 위한 수정� 재무 전망� 발표하며 주요 성과 지표를 업데이트했습니다. 은행은 특히 고객과의 금융 마진� 기존 7.5%-11.5%에서 11.0%-14.0%� 상향 조정했습니다.

� 신용 포트폴리� 성장� 4.5%-8.5%, 시장과의 금융 마진 10억~30� 헤알, 신용 비용 345억~385� 헤알 � 여러 전망치는 유지되었습니�. 유효 세율 전망은 기존 27.0%-29.0%에서 28.5%-30.5%� 상향 조정되었습니�.

Itaú� 2025� 2� 기준으로 사업 관� 목적� 위한 자본 비용� � � 15.0%� 공개했습니다.

Itaú Unibanco (NYSE:ITUB) a publié des projections financières révisées pour 2025, mettant à jour les principaux indicateurs de performance. La banque a notamment relevé ses prévisions pour la marge financière avec les clients à 11,0%-14,0%, contre une fourchette précédente de 7,5%-11,5%.

Plusieurs projections ont été maintenues, notamment la croissance totale du portefeuille de crédits entre 4,5% et 8,5%, une marge financière avec le marché comprise entre 1,0 et 3,0 milliards de R$, et un coût du crédit entre 34,5 et 38,5 milliards de R$. Le taux d'imposition effectif prévu a été révisé à la hausse, passant de 27,0%-29,0% à 28,5%-30,5%.

Itaú a également indiqué un coût du capital d'environ 15,0% par an à des fins de gestion d'entreprise à compter de février 2025.

Itaú Unibanco (NYSE:ITUB) hat überarbeitete Finanzprognosen für 2025 veröffentlicht und dabei wichtige Leistungskennzahlen aktualisiert. Die Bank hat ihre Prognose für die finanzielle Marge mit Kunden auf 11,0%-14,0% von zuvor 7,5%-11,5% deutlich angehoben.

Mehrere Prognosen wurden beibehalten, darunter ein Wachstum des gesamten Kreditportfolios von 4,5%-8,5%, eine finanzielle Marge mit dem Markt zwischen 1,0 und 3,0 Milliarden R$ sowie Kreditkosten zwischen 34,5 und 38,5 Milliarden R$. Die Prognose der effektiven Steuerquote wurde von 27,0%-29,0% auf 28,5%-30,5% nach oben korrigiert.

Itaú gab außerdem an, dass die Kapitalkosten für das Geschäftsmanagement ab Februar 2025 bei etwa 15,0% pro Jahr liegen.

Positive
  • Increased guidance for financial margin with clients to 11.0%-14.0%, up from 7.5%-11.5%
  • Maintained positive credit portfolio growth projection of 4.5%-8.5%
  • Stable financial margin with market projection between R$1.0-3.0 billion
Negative
  • Higher effective tax rate projection of 28.5%-30.5%, increased from 27.0%-29.0%
  • Significant cost of credit projected between R$34.5-38.5 billion

Insights

Itaú Unibanco raises 2025 client margin forecasts while increasing tax rate projections, signaling stronger core operations despite tax headwinds.

Itaú Unibanco's revised 2025 projections reveal significant positive adjustments to its core banking operations. The standout improvement comes in financial margin with clients, where the bank has substantially raised guidance from 7.5%-11.5% growth to 11.0%-14.0% growth. This +3.5% increase at the low end and +2.5% at the high end suggests management sees strengthening fundamental client business.

The bank maintained several key projections, including its total credit portfolio growth (4.5%-8.5%), financial margin with the market (R$1.0-3.0 billion), cost of credit (R$34.5-38.5 billion), commission/fee income growth (4.0%-7.0%), and non-interest expense growth (5.5%-8.5%).

The only negative revision comes in the effective tax rate projection, which increased from 27.0%-29.0% to 28.5%-30.5%, representing a +1.5% increase at both ends of the range. This higher tax burden will partially offset the improved client margin performance.

Notably, management disclosed a cost of capital of approximately 15.0% per year, providing transparency on their internal hurdle rate for business investments and capital allocation decisions.

The maintained credit portfolio growth suggests stable lending activity, while the unchanged cost of credit projection indicates consistent credit quality expectations despite the expanded lending margin forecast. This combination points to improved profitability on new and existing loans rather than taking on higher-risk credits.

SÃO PAULO, Aug. 5, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. ("Itaú Unibanco" or "Company"), in compliance with the provisions of Article 157, paragraph 4 of Law No. 6,404/76 and Resolution No. 44/21 of the Brazilian Securities and Exchange Commission (CVM), informs its stockholders and the market in general that it released as of this date its revised projections for the year 2025 in accordance with item 3 ("Projections") of the Reference Form.

2025 Forecast

Consolidated

Reviewed

Total credit portfolio¹

Growth between
4.5% and 8.5%

Maintained

Financial margin with clients

Growth between
7.5% and 11.5%

Growth between
11.0% and 14.0%

Financial margin with the market

Between
R$1.0 bn and R$3.0 bn

Maintained

Cost of credit²

Between
R$34.5 bn and R$38.5 bn

Maintained

Commissions and fees and results
from insurance operations³

Growth between
4.0% and 7.0%

Maintained

Non-interest expenses

Growth between
5.5% and 8.5%

Maintained

Effective tax rate

Between
27.0% and 29.0%

Between
28.5% and 30.5%

(1) Includes financial guarantees provided and private securities; (2) Composed of Expected Loss Expenses, discounts granted and Recovery of Losses Written of as Losses; (3) Commissions and fees (+) income from insurance, pension plan and premium bonds operations (-) expenses for claims (-) insurance, pension plan and premium bonds selling expenses.

It is important to mention that, as of February 2025, the company considers a cost of capital of around 15.0% p.y. in the management of its businesses.

Information on outlooks for the business, projections, and operational and financial goals are solely forecasts, based on management's current outlook in relation to the future of Itaú Unibanco. These expectations are highly dependent on market conditions, the general economic performance of the country, of the sector and the international markets. Therefore, our effective results and performance may differ from those forecasted in this prospective information.

Gustavo Lopes Rodrigues

Investor Relations Officer

Contact: Itaú Unibanco � Comunicação Corporativa
Phone: (11) 5019-8880 / 8881
-:[email protected]

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SOURCE Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A.

FAQ

What are Itaú Unibanco's (ITUB) credit portfolio growth projections for 2025?

Itaú Unibanco projects its total credit portfolio to grow between 4.5% and 8.5% in 2025.

What is ITUB's projected financial margin with clients for 2025?

The bank raised its financial margin with clients growth projection to 11.0%-14.0%, up from the previous 7.5%-11.5% range.

What is Itaú Unibanco's cost of capital as of February 2025?

Itaú Unibanco considers a cost of capital of approximately 15.0% per year in the management of its businesses.

What is ITUB's projected effective tax rate for 2025?

The bank increased its effective tax rate projection to 28.5%-30.5%, up from the previous range of 27.0%-29.0%.

What is Itaú's projected cost of credit for 2025?

Itaú maintains its cost of credit projection between R$34.5 billion and R$38.5 billion for 2025.
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